Showing posts with label News. Show all posts
Showing posts with label News. Show all posts

Sunday, February 25, 2018

Crowning an Emperor: China Abolishes Term Limits for Xi Jinping

Image result for emperor xi jinping
Emperor Xi courtesy of the
Economist
Today (2/25/2018), news broke that China would abolish term limits for the "President" and "Vice-President" of the nation.  The amendment to China's Constitution will remove a clause that limits the terms of the President and Vice-President to two consecutive terms.  This is huge news for two reasons.  First, the change effectively makes it easier for Xi Jinping to remain in power past 2023.  Something already expected to happen.  Second, it marks a titanic shift in policy for the communist party and the nation.  Term limits for Chinese leaders became the norm after the death of Mao Zedong in 1976.  Now, China has jumped into the abyss by muddying the waters of its already murky leadership succession process.       

For a regime that prizes stability uber alles, allowing a 64-year-old man to rule until his death doesn't sound like a good policy decision.  Famously, the Chinese Communist Party has an obsession with the collapse of the Soviet Union.  Many argue that the instability caused by the Soviet Union's rapid succession of leaders in the early and mid-1980's caused the collapse of the country.  It is possible that the term limits in China sought to prevent similar issues to those caused by the cascading deaths of Brezhnev, Andropov, and Chernenko.  Like many in the former Soviet Union, the Chinese leadership has an abysmal opinion of the Soviet Union's final leader Mikhail Gorbachev.  In a famous quote attributed to Xi Jinping, Xi said that the Soviet Union collapsed because no one was man enough to stand up and defend it.  Ironically, China’s constitutional change risks placing the country in a similar situation to the Soviet Union in the early 1980’s. 
         
Thus far, the earth-shattering news hasn't received much attention in China.  Even the foreign language divisions of China's state-owned news outlets haven't directly addressed the news.  Xinhua buried the lead deep on a page of pending constitutional amendments (see link below).  However, many Hong Kong news outlets, such as the South China Morning Post, ran the news on the front page of their websites.  Regardless of how little ink the constitutional change receives in China, it will fundamental alter the trajectory of China and the world.   

http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2018-02/25/c_136999410.htm

 

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

The Grey Market for Foreign Products in China

Foreign baby formula 
is worth its weight 
in gold in China!
Daigou's are overseas Chinese who either work, travel, or study in a foreign country and sell items purchased abroad for resale in China.  They take advantage of price differences between the products sold in China and the same products sold in the rest of the world.  Recently, daigou's have received a great deal of attention in the press.  News outlets continually chronical high-profile shortages of baby formula in Australia, Hong Kong, and elsewhere caused by Chinese middlemen buying the product in bulk for resale in China.  Several factors contribute for the demand for foreign products in China.  First, Chinese consumers do not trust domestic brands because of a series of deadly safety scares.  Second, Chinese consumers often prefer foreign brands because of their status and higher quality.  

Designer bags are very
popular
Chinese consumers who purchase foreign products in China must pay high and clandestine taxes.  These taxes dramatically increase the prices of popular consumer products in China.  In many cases, the government levies these high taxes on foreign brands made in China.  Milk powder, luxury bags, vitamin supplements, and electronics are popular items sold by daigou’s.  In November of 2017, the Chinese government cut the average import tax from 17.3% to 7.7%.  However, the incredibly opaque method of how, when, and at what rate the government levies import taxes makes this claim suspect.   
Chinese consumers circumvent the high taxes by buying products through daigou's.  They buy products while abroad and ship the products back to China for sale at a markup.  Despite the costs and time involved in this practice, it is still cheaper for Chinese consumers to buy products through daigou's than from retail outlets in China.  The fact that many of the products purchased abroad and sold by daigou's in China have "made in China" stamped on the back of them makes this practice incredibly surreal.  For example, something is:

1.  Made at a factory in China
2.  Shipped to a port    
3.  Loaded on a ship and shipped across the Pacific Ocean
4.  Unloaded at a port in America
5.  Loaded onto a truck and shipped across the country
6.  Unloaded and put on display in a store
7.  Purchased by a daigou (after they receive an order from a consumer back in China)
8.  Purchased, packaged, and shipped by the daigou
9.  Sent to a sorting facility
10.  Shipped to a port 
11.  Loaded onto a ship 
12.  Sent across the Pacific Ocean
13.  Unloaded at a port in China
14.  Shipped by truck to a sorting facility
15.  Delivered by a delivery service to the Chinese consumer in China

And the item still costs less than if the Chinese consumer bought it off the shelf at their local store!

Items like this a 
listed on
WeChat accounts
Daigou's use the Chinese social media platform WeChat to list products available for purchase in stores.  Daigou’s take pictures of the items and upload them as a “WeChat Moment,” which is similar to a Facebook “Status Update.”  Go to a Costco or Wal-Mart in any major city, and you will likely find Chinese people taking pictures of products with their phone.  They work as daigou’s.  People in the daigou's social circle can view the products and place orders by forwarding a message to the diagou using the app.  Often, purchasers pay for the items through Alipay or some other form of virtual wallet (think Apple Pay but Alibaba branded).  

Some daigou's have the ability to carry the items they've sold through customs.  You'll see hundreds of daigou's at the Shenzhen and Hong Kong border.  Follow the link to see a YouTube video about the border.  Whenever I arrive at Beijing Capital Airport, I rarely see anyone go through the line to declare items at customs.  Even individual travelers with five or six suitcases go through the "nothing to declare" line without a problem.  It's painfully obvious that these people are daigou's returning to China with items purchased abroad.  
This watch likely
comes with at least
a 50% markup in
China

So why don't customs officials stop them and make them pay taxes on the suitcases full of items they've purchased for resale?  There's a lot of speculation about why the Chinese government turns a blind eye to daigou's.  I think it's because it allows overseas Chinese to generate wealth without having them interact with us "natives."  Feel free to speculate in the comments below....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YQm5FZMforg

http://www.scmp.com/news/china/policies-politics/article/2121377/china-cuts-import-tariffs-range-consumer-goods

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11979837








Thursday, November 2, 2017

Xi's All That

The Chinese Communist Party just wrapped its 19th Party Congress.  Twice each decade, China's rubber stamp parliament meets to sing its own praises.  Unsurprisingly, cadres read out of new hymnals provided by Xi Jinping.  It should surprise no one that Xi further consolidated his power at this event.  Here are a few interesting and/or important takeaways from the event.       

XI IS ON TOP
A new politburo standing committee (PSG) was named.  However, it didn't include a clear successor for Xi Jinping.  I've seen many click-bait articles speculating that this is the first important signal that Xi Jinping plans to hold the reigns of power past his expected retirement date.  Without a doubt, this was the biggest news from the event.  The regime famously fears government instability caused by top officials suddenly passing away (a la the Soviet Union in the early to mid-eighties).  Xi staying in power past 2022 would show a major shift in the party's priorities.             
Related image
House of Cards...China
Style 

WANG IS OUT
Many expected that China's anti-corruption tsar, Wang Qishan, might break with tradition and stay on the PSG despite reaching the customary retirement age.  This didn't happen.  Seen as a fiercely strong ally of Xi, Wang had the added benefit of not having children.  Too bad Wang's favorite TV show, House of Cards, probably won't release a new season anytime soon.

LONG SPEECHES AND CONSTITUTIONAL CHANGES
Xi gave a  3 hour and 24 minute speech.  The communist party wrote Xi Jinping thought into the Chinese Communist Party's Constitution.  Past leaders have had their political philosophies enshrined in the party's constitution.  However, unlike Deng, Hu, and Jiang, Xi's political philosophy had his name attached during his lifetime.      

Image result for jiang zemin magnifying glass
It's the fine print that'll get ya...
JIANG STEALS THE SHOW
Xi Jinping might have given the keynote speech, but China's former leader Jiang Zemin stole the show.  Images of Jiang yawning during Xi's public speaking marathon lit Chinese social media on fire.  Like a student on the last day of school, Jiang incessantly checked his watch.  The 91 year-old used his now iconic magnifying glass to great effect during Xi's speech.  Expect this make and model of magnifying glass to rocket up the sales charts this Singles Day (11/11).  I have already purchased mine on Taobao.