Emperor Xi courtesy of the Economist |
For a regime that prizes
stability uber alles, allowing a 64-year-old man to rule until his death
doesn't sound like a good policy decision. Famously, the Chinese
Communist Party has an obsession with the collapse of the Soviet Union. Many argue that the instability caused by the
Soviet Union's rapid succession of leaders in the early and mid-1980's caused
the collapse of the country. It is possible that the term limits in China
sought to prevent similar issues to those caused by the cascading deaths of
Brezhnev, Andropov, and Chernenko. Like many in the former Soviet Union,
the Chinese leadership has an abysmal opinion of the Soviet Union's final
leader Mikhail Gorbachev. In a famous
quote attributed to Xi Jinping, Xi said that the Soviet Union collapsed because
no one was man enough to stand up and defend it. Ironically, China’s constitutional
change risks placing the country in a similar situation to the Soviet Union in
the early 1980’s.
Thus far, the earth-shattering
news hasn't received much attention in China. Even the foreign language
divisions of China's state-owned news outlets haven't directly addressed the
news. Xinhua buried the lead deep on a page of pending constitutional
amendments (see link below). However, many Hong Kong news outlets, such
as the South China Morning Post, ran the news on the front page of their
websites. Regardless of how little ink
the constitutional change receives in China, it will fundamental alter the
trajectory of China and the world.
http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2018-02/25/c_136999410.htm